Sep 12, 2017

We Are The Asteroid

The Eagle Creek fire scorching the heart of the Columbia River Gorge was likely ignited by a single human being – a careless, feckless, undeveloped human being. But the blaze that followed was fanned by all of us.

Indeed, the crime committed upon us by this fire, from larceny of natural beauty and spirit, to larceny of livelihood and economy, demands severe punishment. But what punishment restores the damage done by the Eagle Creek Fire? There is no financial edict or human service that will quickly restore the disrupted lives or the emerald majesty of the Columbia River Gorge. Punishment, after all, exists to exact closure and to discourage repetition. Neither outcome is possible in this case. Nature’s closure will take decades, and the economic rebound will require years. Moreover, repetition is likely, not from the current suspect, but rather from our continuing contribution to climate change and the political ineptitude to mitigate it. In this case, a careless spark from an individual was introduced to a careless fuel source left by all of us. Would a firework tossed into an Oregon forest cause a fire? In a normal summer, it’s quite possible. But would that fire in a normal summer explode into a hellfire of over 30,000 acres in a few days? Also possible, but unlikely.

Between June 19th and September 12th, PDX airport has recorded nary a drop of rain – 0.21” according to Weather Underground. This amount of “rain” is akin to combating severe dehydration by running through a yard sprinkler. Indeed, our Willamette Valley summers are normally dry. Some deem this a reward for putting up with our soggy and gray winter shadows. But a normal summer is not this dry. According to the same database, we usually expect around 2.25” of rain between mid-June and mid-September, with temperatures peaking in the low 80s and upper 70s. Indeed, heat waves are common, but ephemeral; rains are rare, but Pacific winds blanket us with nocturnal marine layers and occasional drizzle. Such historical patterns have been decreasing in recent years as we increasingly break temperature records in both single days (if not all-time records) and frequency (cumulative heat). And so despite the first half of 2017 displaying a leaderboard of cold, snow, and rain trophies, we jarringly swapped jerseys in August and September (thus far) for record heat combined with near-record dryness. In fact, 2017 featured the warmest August on record in terms of overall average temperature (National Weather Service). The consequence on our forests renders any spark, regardless of origin, capable of an ignition well beyond a normal, healthy forest fire.

Fire starts and burn area in the Western United States are unequivocally increasing (Westerling AL, et al. 2006, 2016; Morgan P, et al. 2008). This is correlated with accentuating temperatures, changes in snowpack, and longer, drier summers. Add to these data increased amplitude in seasonal variability (Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington), and the results exemplify the dire consequences of human-induced climate change. Whether a natural lightning strike, a vehicle backfire, or a hapless firework, our forests are more vulnerable because of us – not any single person. Hence, decades of reckless energy use, inadequate forest management, and failed politics are threatening to significantly alter our environment towards something less desirable and less habitable. Will our children inherit the lush and resplendent Pacific Northwest that we are so fortunate to call our home? Or will they inherit Mars (I mean that both figuratively and literally)? How many forests must we eulogize in crimson-etched silhouettes before we fully internalize our responsibilities at hand?

Alas, the Columbia River Gorge will rebound, as it has time and time again long before we agitated its repose. But the cries in its honor following the Eagle Creek Fire are in many ways selfish cries for our personal attachments to The Gorge. For this, I’m as selfish as any. The Gorge is where I go to lose my words; it’s a sanctuary of silence; it’s a place of nowhere. I often cycle through its cathedral spires in seek of challenge, solitude, grace, and humility. And so, for me, what’s immediately at stake from the flames are my emotional, personal experiences of The Gorge. But The Gorge is about much more than myself or any one person; it’s about us – the memories, livelihoods, economies, and futures we should all protect. And so instead of rallying a crucifying mob to exact an impossible punishment upon any one individual, perhaps we should direct our anger and grief in ways that bolster our communities and politics towards a cleaner, greener, and sustainable future. Regardless, the Columbia River Gorge will carry on, with or without us. I’d just prefer it be with us.


References:
Weather Underground, The Weather Company, LLC. https://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KPDX/2017/9/12/DailyHistory.html (accessed September 11th, 2017).

National Weather Service, Portland, Oregon. Area Forecast Discussion. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PQR&issuedby=PQR&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 (Accessed September 1st, 2017).

Westerling, AL, Hidalgo HG, Cayan DR, Swetnam TW. Warming and Early Spring Increase In Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity. Science. 313;940-3 (2006).

Westerling, AL. Increasing Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity: Sensitivity To Changes In The Timing Of Spring. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 371;1696 (2016).

Morgan P, Heyerdahl EK, Gibson CE. Multi-season Climate Synchronized Forest Fires Throughout the 20th Century, Northern Rockies, USA. Ecology. 89;717-28. (2008).

Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. https://cig.uw.edu/learn/climate-variability/ (accessed September 11th, 2017).